How Trump could lose the popular vote again and hold the White House

Hillary Clinton won a majority but lost the presidency in the electoral college. A close election could bring a repeat Some defeats never lose their sting. A study from the University of Texas at Austin found that the electoral college is much more likely than previously thought to elect the candidate who loses the popular vote. In close elections, researchers argues, such inversions are normal, not exceptional. In a race decided by less than 2% (2.6m votes), the study found, the probability of an inversion is 32%. In a race decided by less than 1% (1.3m votes), the probability is 45%. Its almost a coin flip, said won New York and California she did so by big margins, but when …

Texas: Republican powerhouse could shift to Democrats as demographics change

The GOP has dominated the state for 30 years, but a slew of retirements and a rise in Hispanic voters may mean Texas becomes a battleground again Sri Preston Kulkarni has just moved into his campaign headquarters, which for now could hardly be more bland: a faceless office with blinds on the windows in a tucked-away suburban Houston business park. Not far away, though, are a Muslim community centre, a Korean market, Hindu temples, Vietnamese, Chinese, Indian and Mexican restaurants reminders that this sprawling Texas metropolis is one of the most diverse urban areas in the nation. Houstons fast-growing south-western suburbs are, for Kulkarni, who is seeking the Democratic nomination for a Texas congressional district, an American success story: a …

Biden criticized after saying: ‘Poor kids are as bright as white kids’

Former vice-presidents remarks prompt criticism from left and right amid Democrats history of gaffes Joe Biden, the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination for president, found his record on race tweeted: Poor kids are just as bright and talented as white kids? To quickly dismiss @JoeBidens words as a mere slip of the tongue is as concerning as what he said. We need to have a real conversation about the racism and sexism behind electability. Donald Trumps re-election campaign also swooped, insisting this was not a gaffe but rather part of a pattern of racially tone-deaf remarks. The president himself he urged viewers to visit a website that does not exist. Gaffes of that nature can be laughed off, but on …

2020 candidate John Delaney pitches vastly unusual climate change plan

Maryland congressman wants to capture carbon dioxide pollution heating the planet and transport it in pipelines criss-crossing US The first three Democratic presidential candidates to declare their plans to tackle the climate crisis are focussing on setting deadlines to neutralize US pollution. But one Democrat is proposing something vastly different. Environmental advocates are likely to find it unacceptable, but some experts say it might be necessary. Maryland congressman and long shot 2020 candidate John Delaney wants to scale up technology to capture the carbon dioxide pollution heating the planet, and transport it in pipelines crisscrossing the country. John Delaneys carbon throughway plan. Photograph: Courtesy of the John Delaney campaign Polluting facilities from Americas industrial regions in the midwest and Gulf …